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Confidence Scoring Methodology

How to assign and interpret confidence scores for generated brand guidelines.

Scoring Levels

High Confidence

The guideline section is well-supported and actionable.

Criteria (must meet at least 3):

  • 3+ corroborating sources
  • Explicit guidance found in at least one AUTHORITATIVE source
  • Consistent across document and conversation analysis
  • Specific, actionable instructions (not just vague principles)
  • No unresolved conflicts

Example: Voice attribute "Confident but not arrogant" appears in the official style guide, is demonstrated in email templates, and matches patterns in top performer calls.

Medium Confidence

The section is reasonable but could benefit from more data or team confirmation.

Criteria (must meet at least 2):

  • 1-2 corroborating sources
  • Inferred from patterns rather than explicit instruction
  • Minor inconsistencies resolved via recency or authority
  • Actionable but some interpretation was required
  • May have one unresolved conflict

Example: Tone for social media inferred from email templates and one Slack thread, but no official social media guidelines exist.

Low Confidence

The section is a best-effort recommendation. Team review strongly recommended.

Criteria (must meet at least 2):

  • Single source only
  • Primarily inferred from indirect evidence
  • Significant interpretation required
  • Unresolved conflicts between sources
  • Limited specificity

Example: Competitive positioning derived from a single sales call where a competitor was discussed, with no supporting documentation.

Section-Level Scoring Guide

Voice Attributes

  • High: Attributes appear in official brand guide AND are demonstrated in templates or calls
  • Medium: Attributes appear in one document type only, or are inferred from multiple conversations
  • Low: Attributes inferred from a single source or from indirect evidence

Messaging Framework

  • High: Value propositions documented in official materials AND used consistently in sales conversations
  • Medium: Documented but not observed in practice, OR observed but not documented
  • Low: Extracted from a single pitch deck or single call

Tone Matrix

  • High: Explicit tone guidance exists for the context AND matches observed behavior
  • Medium: Tone inferred from 3+ examples of content in that context
  • Low: Tone inferred from 1-2 examples, or extrapolated from similar contexts

Terminology

  • High: Terms explicitly listed in a style guide or glossary
  • Medium: Terms consistently used in templates and calls (pattern-based)
  • Low: Terms observed in a single document or inferred from brand personality

Language Patterns (from transcripts)

  • High: Pattern observed in 5+ calls across multiple speakers
  • Medium: Pattern observed in 3-4 calls or from a single top performer
  • Low: Pattern observed in 1-2 calls only

Transcript-Primary Scenarios

When guidelines are generated primarily from conversational sources (no AUTHORITATIVE documents available):

  • Voice Attributes derived from 5+ transcripts = Medium (not Low)
  • Messaging Framework from consistent patterns across 5+ calls = Medium
  • Language Patterns weight increases from 10% to 20% in aggregate calculation (subtract 10% from Voice Attributes)

Note this in the guideline metadata: "Guidelines generated primarily from conversational sources — team review recommended to formalize."

Aggregate Confidence

Calculate overall guideline confidence as the weighted average of section scores:

Section Weight
Voice Attributes 30%
Messaging Framework 25%
Tone Matrix 20%
Terminology 15%
Language Patterns 10%

Convert scores: High = 1.0, Medium = 0.6, Low = 0.3

Example:

  • Voice Attributes: High (1.0 x 0.30 = 0.30)
  • Messaging: Medium (0.6 x 0.25 = 0.15)
  • Tone: Medium (0.6 x 0.20 = 0.12)
  • Terminology: High (1.0 x 0.15 = 0.15)
  • Language: Low (0.3 x 0.10 = 0.03)
  • Overall: 0.75 = Medium-High confidence

Aggregate score thresholds:

  • 0.851.0 = High
  • 0.600.84 = Medium
  • Below 0.60 = Low

Presentation

Present confidence alongside each section header:

## Voice Attributes (Confidence: High)
[content]

## Tone Matrix (Confidence: Medium)
[content — note: no official social media guidelines found, tone inferred from email patterns]

For Medium and Low confidence sections, include a brief note explaining why confidence is limited and what would raise it.

Relationship to Open Questions

Low confidence sections should generate corresponding open questions:

  • Low confidence + conflict = High Priority open question
  • Low confidence + gap = Medium Priority open question
  • Medium confidence + minor inconsistency = Low Priority open question

Every open question includes a recommendation that, if confirmed, would raise the section's confidence score.